Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
51.64% ( -0.28) | 24.56% ( 0.16) | 23.8% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.95% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( -0.55) | 49.94% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% ( -0.49) | 71.93% ( 0.5) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.68% ( -0.32) | 19.32% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.91% ( -0.53) | 51.09% ( 0.54) |
Farsley Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.4% ( -0.19) | 35.6% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.63% ( -0.2) | 72.37% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 51.63% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.8% |
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