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National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 0
Farsley Celtic

Riley (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Alfreton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawFarsley Celtic
51.64% (-0.277 -0.28) 24.56% (0.163 0.16) 23.8% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-0.549 -0.55)49.94% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (-0.493 -0.49)71.93% (0.497 0.5)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (-0.319 -0.32)19.32% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.531 -0.53)51.09% (0.538 0.54)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)35.6% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (-0.201 -0.2)72.37% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 51.63%
    Farsley Celtic 23.8%
    Draw 24.55%
Alfreton TownDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 51.63%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Alfreton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Buxton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Kidderminster
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Alfreton
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Monday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 King's Lynn
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Chester
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 4-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North


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