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National League North | Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 0
South Shields

Thewlis (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and South Shields.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darlington 0-2 Alfreton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-5 South Shields
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawSouth Shields
39.97% (0.136 0.14) 24.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 35.3% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.55% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (0.037999999999997 0.04)44.57% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (0.037999999999997 0.04)66.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (0.084000000000003 0.08)22.25% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (0.125 0.13)55.68% (-0.127 -0.13)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)24.7% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.073 -0.07)59.24% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 39.97%
    South Shields 35.3%
    Draw 24.72%
Alfreton TownDrawSouth Shields
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Darlington 0-2 Alfreton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Tamworth
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Alfreton
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-3 Alfreton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-5 South Shields
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 South Shields
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-3 South Shields
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 1-2 Boston
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 2-1 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 2-3 South Shields
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in National League North


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