SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Southport had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Southport |
62.38% ( 0.69) | 22.36% ( -0.4) | 15.26% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 44.77% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% ( 1.04) | 52.32% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% ( 0.89) | 74.01% ( -0.89) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( 0.6) | 16.27% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( 1.08) | 45.82% ( -1.08) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.48% ( 0.23) | 46.52% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.88% ( 0.18) | 82.12% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 62.36% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 15.26% |
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