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National League North | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Southport

Smart (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Southport had a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawSouthport
62.38% (0.691 0.69) 22.36% (-0.403 -0.4) 15.26% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 44.77% (0.509 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (1.04 1.04)52.32% (-1.041 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (0.887 0.89)74.01% (-0.88799999999999 -0.89)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (0.599 0.6)16.27% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (1.08 1.08)45.82% (-1.08 -1.08)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.48% (0.228 0.23)46.52% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.88% (0.175 0.18)82.12% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 62.36%
    Southport 15.26%
    Draw 22.35%
Brackley TownDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 13.74% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.55% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.133 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 62.36%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.318 -0.32)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 15.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 4-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-0 Southport
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Southport
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Southport
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Southport
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Southport
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North


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