Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fylde in this match.
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