SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Fylde |
31.01% ( 2.13) | 27.94% ( 0.72) | 41.05% ( -2.84) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% ( -1.83) | 58.73% ( 1.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% ( -1.44) | 79.26% ( 1.45) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% ( 0.64) | 34.5% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.78% ( 0.67) | 71.22% ( -0.66) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( -2.36) | 28.11% ( 2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -3.11) | 63.78% ( 3.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.42)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.46)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.04% |
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