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National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
3 - 1
Brackley Town

Spencer (14'), Campbell (57', 72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Armson (56')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 4-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Leamington
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawBrackley Town
34.61% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 26.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 38.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)54.14% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)75.56% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)29.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)65.75% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-0.012 -0.01)62.85% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 34.61%
    Brackley Town 38.46%
    Draw 26.91%
Curzon AshtonDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 10.53% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 4-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-0 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-3 Gloucester City
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Leamington
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Southport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 4-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North


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