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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Brackley Town |
34.61% ( -0.03) | 26.92% ( 0.01) | 38.46% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.86% ( -0.04) | 54.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.44% ( -0.04) | 75.56% ( 0.04) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( -0.04) | 29.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( -0.05) | 65.75% ( 0.05) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( -0.01) | 27.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( -0.01) | 62.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.46% |
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