Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
