Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Boston United	Draw	Southport
46.28% ( -0.44)	25.15% ( 0.11)	28.56% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

-0.28)

48.87% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

-0.26)

70.97% (

0.26)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86% (

-0.31)

21.14% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.01% (

-0.48)

53.99% (

0.48)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

0.09)

31.16% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

0.11)

67.5% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Boston United 46.28%

Southport 28.56%

Draw 25.15%

Boston United	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.56%