SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Fylde | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Southport | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Leamington FC | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Farsley Celtic | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 22 | Brackley Town | 4 | -4 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | AFC Telford United |
39.75% ( -0.57) | 27.64% ( 0.13) | 32.61% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( -0.41) | 57.25% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( -0.33) | 78.09% ( 0.33) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.52) | 28.13% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( -0.66) | 63.81% ( 0.65) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( 0.09) | 32.59% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.87% ( 0.1) | 69.13% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.6% |
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