Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for York City had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.