Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
