Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 81.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.