Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.