Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.