Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
