Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 41%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gloucester City in this match.
