Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
