Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
