Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kettering Town in this match.
