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National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)

Gloucester City
3 - 7
Boston

Duffus (28'), Robinson (42'), Beresford (61')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Knowles (3', 71', 90+3'), Mooney (11', 24', 29', 77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gloucester City 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawBoston United
30.04% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.88% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.07% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)31.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)67.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (0.0019999999999953 0)57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 30.04%
    Boston United 44.07%
    Draw 25.88%
Gloucester CityDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 44.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 3-3 Gloucester City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-5 South Shields
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-1 Gloucester City
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 King's Lynn
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-3 Buxton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-2 Boston
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 0-0 Boston
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North


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