Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
57.5% (![]() | 22.01% (![]() | 20.49% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.21% (![]() | 42.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.81% (![]() | 65.19% (![]() |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% (![]() | 14.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.23% (![]() | 42.77% (![]() |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% (![]() | 34.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.55% (![]() | 71.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
2-1 @ 9.93% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 10.33% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.46% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 20.49% |
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