SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 29.78% | 26.41% | 43.81% |
| Both teams to score 51.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% | 74.93% |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% | 32.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.85% | 69.15% |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% | 24.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.43% | 58.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 7.94% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.81% |
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