Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.