Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.