Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.
