Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.
