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National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Merseyrail Community Stadium

Southport
3 - 2
Chester

Bainbridge (9'), Archer (37'), Carver (40')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dudley (34' pen.), Lacey (48')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Chester FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Southport had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawChester FC
35.58%24.23%40.18%
Both teams to score 60.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83%42.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42%64.58%
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56%23.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56%57.44%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9%21.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06%53.94%
Score Analysis
    Southport 35.58%
    Chester FC 40.18%
    Draw 24.23%
SouthportDrawChester FC
2-1 @ 8.1%
1-0 @ 7.18%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 35.58%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.18%

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