SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gloucester City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Chester FC |
| 41.84% | 24.1% | 34.05% |
| Both teams to score 60.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.15% | 41.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% | 64.25% |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% | 20.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.49% | 52.51% |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% | 24.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.56% | 58.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Chester FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.97% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-1 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.05% |
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