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National League North | Gameweek 5
Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Gloucester City
2 - 1
Chester

Daly (58'), Asante (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dudley (86')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Chester FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gloucester City in this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawChester FC
41.84%24.1%34.05%
Both teams to score 60.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15%41.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75%64.25%
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8%20.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49%52.51%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86%24.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56%58.44%
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 41.84%
    Chester FC 34.05%
    Draw 24.1%
Gloucester CityDrawChester FC
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 3.33%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 41.84%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-1 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.05%


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