Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gloucester City in this match.