Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.