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National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
3 - 0
Hereford

Green (25', 61', 90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cowley (40')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Gloucester City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawHereford United
51.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 23.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.37% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.067 -0.07)46.02% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)18.02% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)48.91% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)32.45% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.067 -0.07)68.98% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 51.13%
    Hereford United 24.99%
    Draw 23.87%
Scarborough AthleticDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 51.13%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Darlington 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 3-1 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-4 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Gloucester City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-3 Hereford
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Warrington Town
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-5 Scunthorpe
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North


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