SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Hereford United |
51.13% ( 0.02) | 23.88% ( 0.01) | 24.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.07) | 46.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( -0.06) | 68.33% ( 0.07) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( -0.02) | 18.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.09% ( -0.03) | 48.91% ( 0.03) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.06) | 32.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( -0.07) | 68.98% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 51.13% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.99% |
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