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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Hereford United |
42.96% ( 0.1) | 25.41% ( -0.02) | 31.64% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0.07) | 48.54% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.06) | 70.66% ( -0.06) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( 0.08) | 22.52% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( 0.12) | 56.1% ( -0.11) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.02) | 28.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( -0.02) | 64.71% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.64% |
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