SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Hereford United |
35.06% ( -0.02) | 26.96% ( 0) | 37.98% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% ( -0.01) | 54.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( -0.01) | 75.66% ( 0.01) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.02) | 29.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( -0.02) | 65.49% ( 0.03) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( 0.01) | 27.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( 0.01) | 63.29% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.98% |
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