Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.
