Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 52.54%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
