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National League North | Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Merseyrail Community Stadium

Southport
2 - 1
Guiseley

Archer (17', 85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McLean (39')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Guiseley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawGuiseley
45.33%25.54%29.12%
Both teams to score 53.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79%50.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83%72.17%
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5%55.5%
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55%31.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17%67.83%
Score Analysis
    Southport 45.33%
    Guiseley 29.12%
    Draw 25.54%
SouthportDrawGuiseley
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.33%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.12%

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