SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Guiseley |
| 45.33% | 25.54% | 29.12% |
| Both teams to score 53.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% | 50.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% | 72.17% |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% | 22.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Guiseley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% | 31.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.17% | 67.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Guiseley |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.12% |
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