Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
