Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
