Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.