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National League North | Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
BP

Chorley
1 - 1
Bradford Park Av

Jonathan Ustabasi (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rawson (78')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Bradford Park Avenue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 10.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawBradford Park Avenue
73.52%15.84%10.63%
Both teams to score 53.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.69%34.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.78%56.22%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98%8.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76%28.24%
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.63%42.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.25%78.75%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 73.52%
    Bradford Park Avenue 10.63%
    Draw 15.85%
ChorleyDrawBradford Park Avenue
2-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 7.82%
4-0 @ 5.74%
4-1 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 3.36%
5-0 @ 2.9%
5-1 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 2.12%
6-0 @ 1.22%
5-2 @ 1.07%
6-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 73.52%
1-1 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 3.99%
0-0 @ 3.39%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.85%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-1 @ 2.92%
0-2 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 10.63%

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