Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 10.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.