Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.