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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marine AFC | Draw | Needham Market |
55.29% ( -0.15) | 23.78% ( 0.07) | 20.92% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( -0.16) | 49.8% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( -0.14) | 71.8% ( 0.14) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( -0.11) | 17.87% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% ( -0.2) | 48.65% ( 0.2) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( 0) | 38.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( 0) | 75.04% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marine AFC | Draw | Needham Market |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 55.29% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.92% |
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