SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chester FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Needham Market | Draw | Chester FC |
28.66% ( -0.07) | 26% ( 0.01) | 45.34% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.68% ( -0.09) | 52.32% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% ( -0.07) | 74.01% ( 0.07) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( -0.1) | 32.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( -0.11) | 69.46% ( 0.11) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( -0.02) | 56.83% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Needham Market | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.66% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.34% |
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