SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Needham Market | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
25.11% ( 0.02) | 24.89% ( -0) | 50% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.03) | 50.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( 0.02) | 72.13% ( -0.03) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( 0.03) | 34.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( 0.03) | 71.31% ( -0.03) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0) | 20.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( 0.01) | 52.31% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Needham Market | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.11% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.09% 0-3 @ 4.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.99% |
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