Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
