SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Needham Market |
51.63% ( -0.14) | 24.46% ( -0.06) | 23.91% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( 0.43) | 49.43% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( 0.39) | 71.47% ( -0.39) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( 0.11) | 19.13% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.22% ( 0.19) | 50.77% ( -0.19) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( 0.42) | 35.23% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( 0.43) | 71.98% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Needham Market |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.91% |
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