SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 56.08%. A win for Southport had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Southport |
56.08% ( -0.03) | 21.36% ( 0) | 22.56% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.15% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.95% ( 0.03) | 37.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.76% ( 0.03) | 59.24% ( -0.03) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% | 13.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.13% | 39.87% ( 0) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.05) | 29.57% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( 0.05) | 65.6% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Southport |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 56.08% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 22.56% |
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