SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 3-1 (5.92%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Radcliffe | Draw | Oxford City |
48.39% ( 0.34) | 21.74% ( -0.04) | 29.86% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 67.3% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.83% | 32.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.24% | 53.75% ( -0) |
| Radcliffe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( 0.11) | 13.87% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.73% ( 0.22) | 41.27% ( -0.22) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.17) | 21.86% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( -0.26) | 55.1% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radcliffe | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 48.39% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 29.86% |
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