SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Radcliffe | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
26.91% ( 0.12) | 22.55% ( -0.15) | 50.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.88% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0.82) | 38.27% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.45% ( 0.87) | 60.55% ( -0.86) |
| Radcliffe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( 0.51) | 26.87% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( 0.67) | 62.19% ( -0.67) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( 0.31) | 15.37% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.84% ( 0.58) | 44.16% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radcliffe | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.91% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.91% Total : 50.54% |
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