Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.05) 
