SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Darlington | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Scarborough Athletic | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Kidderminster Harriers | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Chorley | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Peterborough Sports | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chorley |
25.21% ( -0.05) | 26.63% ( 0.05) | 48.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.24% ( -0.19) | 56.76% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% ( -0.15) | 77.7% ( 0.15) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0.15) | 38.11% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.13% ( -0.15) | 74.87% ( 0.15) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.08) | 23.62% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( -0.11) | 57.7% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.21% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.15% |
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