Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
0.72) 
-0.34) 
